Columbia University, July 2012 John Kay’s thought-provoking essay[1] argues that economists have been led astray by excessive reliance on formal models derived from assumptions that bear [...]
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Bruce Preston: Learning Dynamics and Monetary Policy.
INEXC-Conference : International Network on Expectational Cordination. Thursday 28th June. Collège de France, 3 rue d’Ulm, 75005 Paris Click here to see the video
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Mike Woodford: Rational Inattention and Coordination.
INEXC-Conference : International Network on Expectational Cordination. Friday 29th June. Collège de France, 11 Place Marcelin Berthelot, 75005 Paris. Click here to see the video
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Executive Compensation and Short-Termist Behaviour in Speculative Markets
Publication by Jose Scheinkman, Patrick Bolton and Wei Xiong
We present a multiperiod agency model of stock-based executive compensation in a speculative stock market, where investors have heterogeneous beliefs and stock prices may deviate [...]
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Adaptive Learning and the Use of Forecasts in Monetary Policy
Publication by Bruce Preston
This paper investigates monetarypolicy design when central bank and private-sector expectations differ. Private agents learn adaptively; the central bank has a possibly misspecified model of [...]
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Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Sticky-Information Model
Publication by Ricardo Reis
This paper uses a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky information as a laboratory to study monetary policy. It characterizes the model’s predictions [...]
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Inattentive consumers
Publication by Ricardo Reis
This paper studies the consumption decisions of agents who face costs of acquiring, absorbing and processing information. These consumers rationally choose to only sporadically update [...]
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Optimal Monetary Stabilization Policy
Publication by Michael Woodford
This paper reviews the theory of optimal monetary stabilization policy, with an emphasis on developments since the publication of Woodford (2003). The structure of optimal [...]
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Testing working paper
Working Paper by Patrick Bolton
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Strategic Experimentation
Publication by Christopher Harris and Patrick Bolton
This paper extends the classic two-armed bandit problem to a many-agent setting in which N players each face the same experimentation problem. The main change [...]
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Complexity, Bounded rationality and Heuristic Search
Publication by W. Bentley MacLeod
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